Valuation of Business
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-->Theories and concepts of valuation model
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-->Methodology- Microeconomy relativity
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-->How to evaluate a business-stock/PE/Distressed debt ?
PE Investment
Currency
Money and QE Policy
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--> 如果以美国目前的量化宽松的规模,频率,和玩法玩下去,美国时代的结束可能会在随后的20-30年内开始。
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--> Trying to get out of every single recession in less than two months is something anti scientific
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--> When some of neighborhoods have seen a 70% rise in rent compared with two years ago
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--> Facing the strong economy and inflation, will we see significant tapering soon?
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--> How much extra interest will the US government have to pay for its treasuries if the Fed stops purchasing treasuries today?
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--> How will the US stock market be hit if the Fed stops purchasing treasuries today?
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--> Will the US job market be hit if the Fed stops purchasing treasuries today?
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--> How much more money can the US print before the state credit collapses?
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--> As long as M2 does not go beyond the total social wealth(excluding money), everything will be well under control - the logic on which the Fed’s expanding its balance sheet has based.
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--> QE is bound to fail when private ownership meets the aging population, unskilled but costly labor, and globalization
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--> Will inflation reach its peak in September and then go down?
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--> What will happen if Fed tightens QE VS if it does not?
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--> Can interest rate rise directly from 0% to 2%?
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--> When selling 1y bonds, will Fed's buying 10y bonds work?
Equity Index Trading
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--> 美股的泡沫比1929年和2000年的更大吗?这一次可能真的不同。
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--> China Shanghai Index up by 80% but Dow by 300% since 2009. What’s different?
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--> US GDP #growth explained less than ⅓ of Dow increase (2009-2021) and thanks to monetary and fiscal policies for the remaining
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--> Will the international influx of #money back China stock market?
Fixed Income
High Frequency Trading
Bitcoin
China
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--> Finally, China is able to put aside the GDP number.
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--> The real risk of China’s onshore debts is not from unexpected default but from the uncertainty of Fed’s QE and the underestimated inflation of China; China’s offshore HY bonds also seem more attractive when these risks are not priced in.
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--> Evergrande is far away from being China’s “Lehman Brothers”. Tons of foreclosures are between.
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--> Inflation has never been absent in China, caused by its operation of foreign reserves.
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--> Is the default of China's AAA corporate bonds a result of insufficient monetary stimulus in Covid-19 pandemic?
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--> AI planned, free market economy system.
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--> How can China become really powerful economic entity?
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--> Increasing land supply can rein housing boom in China?
The purpose of posting articles
- *Learn our thoughts behind our study and research on economy and its micro world.
- *Build a theoretical base for using our database and ratios.