Basic financial benchmarks,metrics, and growth

 

Production cost& control       

Gross Margin:

  • (Fast-casual sector): 13% (8-19%)         (Including operating expenses mainly)
  •  (Chicken sub-sector): 14.5% (8-19%)     (Including company operating expenses mainly)
  • (Hamburger sub-sector):12% (7-16%)         (Including operating expenses mainly)
  •  (Mediterranean – sub sector):10%     (Including operating expenses mainly)
  •  (Mexican-sub sector): 15% (14-15%)         (Including operating expenses mainly)
  •  (Pizza-sub sector): 52%         (Including mainly franchise expenses)
  • (Pasta/noodle sub sector): 10.5%         (Including operating expenses mainly)
  • Gross Margin (before depreciation): 18%
  • Depreciation/sales: 5%
  • Depreciation/ CAPEX:  1.2

Margins       

Operating Margin:

  • (Fast-casual sector): 3%
  •  (Chicken sub-sector): 6.5% (2.5-9%)
  • (Hamburger sub-sector): 1%
  •  (Mediterranean – sub sector): -0.5%
  •  (Mexican-sub sector): 5%
  • (Pizza-sub sector): 1%
  • (Pasta/noodle sub sector): -2%

EBITDA / Sales: average 8%

Free Cash Flow before working capital / Sales:

  • (Fast-casual sector): 0.8%
  • (Chicken sub-sector): 2.5%
  • (Hamburger sub-sector): -1%
  • (Mediterranean – sub sector): -2%
  • (Mexican-sub sector): 3%
  • (Pizza-sub sector): 0%
  • (Pasta/noodle sub sector): -0.5%

EBI / Asset: 0%

Marketing & general management expenses

SG&A/ Sales:

  • (Fast-casual sector): 10%
  • (Chicken sub-sector): 8%
  • (Hamburger sub-sector): 11%
  •  (Mediterranean – sub sector): 11%
  •  (Mexican-sub sector): 9.5%
  • (Pizza-sub sector): 51%
  • (Pasta/noodle sub sector): 10%

Financing &liquidity

  • Debt / Asset:  30%
  • Interest / EBITDA: 10%

 

 

Growth

           

                                                                                                                                      2015           2016          2017         2018(annualized)

  • Growth in comparable sales (fast-casual sector, US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                       3%            -0.8%         -2%            -1%
  • Range                                                                                                                          -5-8%        -16-3%      -13-3%         -13-5%
  • Growth in comparable transactions (fast-casual sector, US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                       0.2%            -1.5%         -3.4%         -5%
  • Range                                                                                                                          -2-3.5%        -4-3%         -9-2%        -9-0%
  • Growth in comparable sales (hamburger-fast-casual, US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                        3.3%          0.3%          -0.2%          -0.35%
  • Range                                                                                                                            1-7%          -3-2.5%      -3-3%            -4-5%
  • Growth in transaction counts (hamburger-fast-casual, US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                         0.8%          -1.2%          -2%            -5%
  • Range                                                                                                                            -1-3.5%      -3.5-3%      -6-2%0     -8-0%
  • Growth in comparable sales (Chicken/wings-fast-casual US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                         4.3%           0.35%        -0.6%           -0.1%
  • Range                                                                                                                             2-8%            -4-3%       -4-1.5%        -6-7%
  • Growth in comparable sales (Mediterranean fast-casual, US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                           6%                4%            -2%             -2.5%
  • Growth in comparable sales (Mexican –fast-casual US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                           3%                -1.4%         -7%             1%
  • Range                                                                                                                              0.2-4.4%           -2.5-0%     -8-(-6)%     1-2%
  • Growth in comparable transactions (Mexican –fast-casual US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                                                 -3.3%         -9%             -4.5%
  • Range                                                                                                                                                   -3.5-(-3)%   -9%            -9-(-2)%
  • Growth in comparable menu price (Mexican –fast-casual US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                            4%                  2%                2%                5%
  • Range                                                                                                                            3-5%               1.5-2.2%      1.5-2%         4-7% 
  • Growth in comparable sales (Pizza-fast-casual US market)   
  • Average                                                                                                                                                     -5%              -16%             -13%
  • Growth in comparable sales (pasta/noodles fast-casual US market):                             
  • Average                                                                                                                              0%                 -1%                -2.4%            3% 
  •  Average Increase in SG&A:                                                                                           13%              12%                  2%
  • Increase in depreciation:                        
  • Average Increase in CAPEX:                
  • AVG Increase in Operating Income:                                                                         56%              -12%             -17%         -40% 
  • AVG Increase in cash inflow/share:                                                                          25%              -13%            -25%          -50%

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